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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.74+0.87vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.23+0.07vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.66+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.36-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.04-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Washington0.7443.0%1st Place
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2.07Western Washington University0.2335.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Washington-0.6611.6%1st Place
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3.72University of Oregon-1.366.7%1st Place
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4.3University of Washington-2.043.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 43.0% | 34.0% | 16.9% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 35.2% | 33.7% | 21.3% | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Kahle | 11.6% | 19.1% | 32.7% | 26.5% | 10.2% |
| Molly McLeod | 6.7% | 8.5% | 19.1% | 38.0% | 27.8% |
| Willow Hoins | 3.5% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 21.8% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.