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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.23+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74-0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.36+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.66-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.04-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Western Washington University0.2332.6%1st Place
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1.81University of Washington0.7446.7%1st Place
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3.77University of Oregon-1.364.8%1st Place
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3.02University of Washington-0.6613.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Washington-2.042.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 32.6% | 35.7% | 22.0% | 8.8% | 1.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 46.7% | 32.6% | 15.0% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Molly McLeod | 4.8% | 9.8% | 17.8% | 38.7% | 28.9% |
| Sarah Kahle | 13.2% | 16.9% | 35.0% | 25.1% | 9.8% |
| Willow Hoins | 2.9% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 22.5% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.