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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.74+0.88vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.23+0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-2.04+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.36-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.66-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Washington0.7443.0%1st Place
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2.12Western Washington University0.2332.6%1st Place
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4.31University of Washington-2.043.8%1st Place
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3.7University of Oregon-1.366.2%1st Place
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2.99University of Washington-0.6614.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 43.0% | 33.2% | 17.4% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 32.6% | 34.8% | 22.5% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Willow Hoins | 3.8% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 21.9% | 60.4% |
| Molly McLeod | 6.2% | 10.0% | 18.8% | 37.0% | 28.0% |
| Sarah Kahle | 14.3% | 17.7% | 31.8% | 27.1% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.