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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.23+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74-0.15vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.660.00vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.36-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.04-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Western Washington University0.2332.8%1st Place
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1.85University of Washington0.7445.3%1st Place
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3.0University of Washington-0.6613.4%1st Place
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3.73University of Oregon-1.365.9%1st Place
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4.32University of Washington-2.042.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 32.8% | 35.6% | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 45.3% | 31.1% | 17.4% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Kahle | 13.4% | 18.9% | 32.6% | 24.6% | 10.5% |
| Molly McLeod | 5.9% | 9.0% | 19.2% | 37.5% | 28.2% |
| Willow Hoins | 2.6% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 23.4% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.