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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.23+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74-0.15vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.66+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.36-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.04-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Western Washington University0.2332.7%1st Place
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1.85University of Washington0.7444.4%1st Place
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3.02University of Washington-0.6613.2%1st Place
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3.74University of Oregon-1.366.7%1st Place
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4.28University of Washington-2.043.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 32.7% | 34.8% | 22.8% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 44.4% | 33.3% | 16.4% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Kahle | 13.2% | 18.0% | 32.7% | 25.7% | 10.4% |
| Molly McLeod | 6.7% | 8.5% | 18.3% | 36.9% | 29.7% |
| Willow Hoins | 3.0% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 24.5% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.