← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+9.10vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii3.68+2.37vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.72+1.38vs Predicted
-
4California State University Monterey Bay1.63+8.35vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.56vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California2.64+2.15vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine2.17+3.37vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University2.20+1.73vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles1.83+2.35vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego2.19+0.03vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley2.12-0.71vs Predicted
-
12California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-2.16vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University1.51+0.20vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University3.06-7.65vs Predicted
-
15Santa Clara University1.42-1.80vs Predicted
-
16Northwestern University1.28-2.23vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-2.56vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis0.42-1.25vs Predicted
-
19Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-3.83vs Predicted
-
20University of Oregon2.51-11.37vs Predicted
-
21California State University Monterey Bay1.63-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
-
4.37University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
-
4.38Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
-
12.35California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
-
7.56California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.15University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
10.37University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
-
9.73Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
-
11.35University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
-
10.03University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
-
10.29University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
-
9.84California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
-
13.2Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
-
6.35Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
-
13.2Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
13.77Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
-
14.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
-
16.75University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
-
15.17Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
-
8.63University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
-
12.35California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 17.9% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 17.3% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 37.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chong | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.