← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.74+1.17vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.23+0.50vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.10-0.34vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.66-0.50vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon-1.36-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17University of Washington0.7435.5%1st Place
-
2.5Western Washington University0.2326.7%1st Place
-
2.66University of Washington0.1021.9%1st Place
-
3.5University of Washington-0.6610.9%1st Place
-
4.18University of Oregon-1.365.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 35.5% | 28.7% | 22.2% | 10.7% | 2.8% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 26.7% | 25.6% | 24.9% | 17.3% | 5.7% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 21.9% | 24.8% | 25.9% | 20.2% | 7.2% |
| Sarah Kahle | 10.9% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 32.5% | 26.1% |
| Molly McLeod | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 19.2% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.