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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.64+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine3.43+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.16+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.01+3.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles2.63-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-2.14vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.23-3.04vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis1.68-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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4.12University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Hawaii3.230.2%1st Place
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6.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Stemler | 23.4% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Rex Cameron | 15.4% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Lue | 14.1% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 21.6% | 47.9% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 14.6% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| William Petersen | 15.4% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Maher | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 19.7% | 23.6% | 22.1% |
| Ryan Lee | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 26.4% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.