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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+3.45vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.46+3.74vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+4.94vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.97-0.03vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.66+3.71vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.45+1.74vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.62+1.33vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.52-0.20vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.55-0.69vs Predicted
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10Penn State University1.13-6.05vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.43-5.37vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.85-3.02vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.52-2.32vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-2.74-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Christopher Newport University0.7314.2%1st Place
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5.74Princeton University0.4610.2%1st Place
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7.94Rochester Institute of Technology-0.554.8%1st Place
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3.97Virginia Tech0.9717.9%1st Place
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8.71Syracuse University-0.663.9%1st Place
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7.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.454.9%1st Place
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8.33William and Mary-0.622.9%1st Place
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7.8SUNY Maritime College-0.524.7%1st Place
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8.31Washington College-0.554.0%1st Place
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3.95Penn State University1.1318.1%1st Place
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5.63Columbia University0.439.9%1st Place
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8.98Drexel University-0.852.6%1st Place
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10.68Rutgers University-1.521.4%1st Place
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12.77U. S. Military Academy-2.740.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 14.2% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Josh Elliott | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Bender | 17.9% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 4.1% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Austin Latimer | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 18.1% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Randle | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 4.8% |
| Cooper Bennett | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 26.9% | 14.9% |
| Nic Delia | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 12.2% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.