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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.74+1.15vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.23+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.66+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.36+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.10-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Washington0.7435.9%1st Place
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2.5Western Washington University0.2326.4%1st Place
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3.49University of Washington-0.6610.4%1st Place
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4.2University of Oregon-1.365.7%1st Place
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2.67University of Washington0.1021.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 35.9% | 29.0% | 21.9% | 10.6% | 2.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 26.4% | 26.1% | 24.3% | 17.8% | 5.3% |
| Sarah Kahle | 10.4% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 31.4% | 25.6% |
| Molly McLeod | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 19.6% | 59.0% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 21.7% | 25.3% | 25.1% | 20.5% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.