← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.23+1.48vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington0.10+0.66vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.74-0.85vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.66-0.49vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon-1.36-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.48Western Washington University0.2325.9%1st Place
-
2.66University of Washington0.1022.9%1st Place
-
2.15University of Washington0.7436.3%1st Place
-
3.51University of Washington-0.6610.2%1st Place
-
4.2University of Oregon-1.364.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 25.9% | 27.8% | 24.6% | 16.1% | 5.8% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 22.9% | 23.0% | 26.7% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
| Erin Pamplin | 36.3% | 29.0% | 20.6% | 11.3% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Kahle | 10.2% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 32.6% | 25.9% |
| Molly McLeod | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 20.3% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.