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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.74+1.09vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.23+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.36+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.66-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.10-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Washington0.7438.5%1st Place
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2.5Western Washington University0.2324.9%1st Place
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4.17University of Oregon-1.365.5%1st Place
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3.56University of Washington-0.668.8%1st Place
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2.68University of Washington0.1022.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 38.5% | 29.1% | 19.4% | 10.5% | 2.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 24.9% | 27.5% | 26.3% | 15.8% | 5.5% |
| Molly McLeod | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 19.2% | 57.9% |
| Sarah Kahle | 8.8% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 33.2% | 26.5% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 22.4% | 23.6% | 25.2% | 21.2% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.