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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.66+2.54vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.74+0.10vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.23-0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.10-1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.36-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of Washington-0.6610.3%1st Place
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2.1University of Washington0.7438.2%1st Place
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2.48Western Washington University0.2325.9%1st Place
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2.68University of Washington0.1020.8%1st Place
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4.2University of Oregon-1.364.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Kahle | 10.3% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 34.4% | 25.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 38.2% | 29.2% | 20.3% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 25.9% | 26.2% | 27.0% | 15.9% | 5.1% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 20.8% | 25.7% | 25.4% | 20.6% | 7.4% |
| Molly McLeod | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.