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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.23+1.48vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-1.36+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.74-0.87vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.66-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.10-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Western Washington University0.2325.8%1st Place
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4.22University of Oregon-1.365.1%1st Place
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2.13University of Washington0.7436.7%1st Place
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3.53University of Washington-0.6610.3%1st Place
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2.64University of Washington0.1022.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 25.8% | 27.5% | 24.6% | 16.9% | 5.2% |
| Molly McLeod | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 19.5% | 59.7% |
| Erin Pamplin | 36.7% | 30.3% | 19.6% | 10.3% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Kahle | 10.3% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 34.0% | 25.6% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 22.2% | 23.8% | 28.3% | 19.4% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.