← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Monterey Bay0.36+13.48vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii3.04+2.72vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University4.05-0.43vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley1.80+4.86vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University1.71+4.10vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego1.60+3.72vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81+2.13vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University2.21-0.86vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.76vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-2.68vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine0.93+1.30vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University0.77+1.20vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon0.76+0.32vs Predicted
-
14Northwestern University0.84-1.36vs Predicted
-
15University of Southern California2.47-8.57vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles0.44-1.81vs Predicted
-
17California State University Channel Islands0.08-1.64vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis0.83-5.23vs Predicted
-
19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.34-4.48vs Predicted
-
20California State University Monterey Bay0.36-5.52vs Predicted
-
21Santa Clara University-0.06-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
14.48California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
-
4.72University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
2.57Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
-
8.86University of California at Berkeley1.800.0%1st Place
-
9.1Stanford University1.710.0%1st Place
-
9.72University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
-
9.13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
-
7.14Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
-
6.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
7.32California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
-
12.3University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
-
13.2Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
-
13.32University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
-
12.64Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
-
6.43University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
-
14.19University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
-
15.36California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
-
12.77University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
-
14.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.340.0%1st Place
-
14.48California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
-
16.0Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Macko | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 34.2% | 26.0% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Georgie Ryan | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noelle Herring | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Larsen | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 9.1% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Grant Petersen | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.