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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.64+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.16+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis1.68+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine3.43-0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.23-1.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles2.63-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.08vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-1.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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4.28University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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3.51University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Hawaii3.230.2%1st Place
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5.05University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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6.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Stemler | 23.9% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Lue | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 28.3% | 21.6% |
| Rex Cameron | 18.6% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| William Petersen | 16.3% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 14.6% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 26.6% | 19.4% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 19.8% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.