← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech0.97+2.87vs Predicted
-
2Columbia University0.43+3.51vs Predicted
-
3Washington College-0.55+5.13vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University1.13-0.02vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University0.46+0.83vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Stony Brook-0.45+1.77vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University0.73-2.66vs Predicted
-
8Drexel University-0.85+1.03vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College-0.52-1.09vs Predicted
-
10Syracuse University-0.66-1.29vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary-0.62-2.65vs Predicted
-
12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55-3.97vs Predicted
-
13Rutgers University-1.52-2.16vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Military Academy-2.74-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.87Virginia Tech0.9718.1%1st Place
-
5.51Columbia University0.4311.3%1st Place
-
8.13Washington College-0.554.3%1st Place
-
3.98Penn State University1.1318.7%1st Place
-
5.83Princeton University0.468.8%1st Place
-
7.77SUNY Stony Brook-0.454.9%1st Place
-
4.34Christopher Newport University0.7314.9%1st Place
-
9.03Drexel University-0.853.1%1st Place
-
7.91SUNY Maritime College-0.524.2%1st Place
-
8.71Syracuse University-0.662.6%1st Place
-
8.35William and Mary-0.623.4%1st Place
-
8.03Rochester Institute of Technology-0.553.9%1st Place
-
10.84Rutgers University-1.521.2%1st Place
-
12.69U. S. Military Academy-2.740.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 18.1% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 18.7% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 4.3% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Maren Behnke | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Josh Elliott | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Cooper Bennett | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 28.3% | 16.7% |
| Nic Delia | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 12.2% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.