Race 2B

harris-kempner

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Etienne Black 4.9% 7.0% 9.0% 12.4% 14.8% 15.3% 16.8% 13.3% 6.3%
David Manley 45.6% 30.8% 13.7% 6.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Hennig 22.7% 22.9% 21.6% 14.9% 10.2% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Anna Kovacs 8.8% 13.4% 16.7% 18.9% 16.4% 12.8% 7.9% 4.5% 0.7%
Jason Elliott 6.1% 8.0% 11.6% 12.8% 13.8% 16.5% 14.1% 11.6% 5.6%
Ana Savva Garcia 3.0% 4.1% 6.9% 8.3% 11.3% 13.2% 16.2% 21.1% 15.7%
Cecillia Siegel 4.4% 6.7% 10.3% 12.3% 14.6% 14.5% 14.8% 14.2% 8.1%
Timothy Verriere 3.4% 5.1% 7.4% 10.2% 11.7% 14.5% 18.4% 19.1% 10.2%
Evann Greene 1.2% 2.1% 2.8% 3.7% 4.7% 6.9% 9.8% 15.7% 53.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.