Race 3B

harris-kempner

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Etienne Black 4.2% 8.0% 9.3% 12.7% 14.2% 16.6% 15.0% 13.4% 6.7%
David Manley 48.8% 27.1% 14.0% 6.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Kovacs 10.0% 13.5% 17.7% 17.3% 15.3% 13.1% 8.1% 3.9% 1.1%
Kate Hennig 19.4% 25.6% 21.7% 15.7% 10.3% 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Jason Elliott 5.9% 7.8% 10.9% 13.6% 15.7% 15.2% 14.8% 10.9% 5.1%
Timothy Verriere 3.3% 5.6% 8.8% 11.6% 11.5% 13.7% 17.5% 17.4% 10.7%
Ana Savva Garcia 2.6% 3.9% 6.5% 7.8% 11.2% 13.1% 15.2% 21.9% 17.8%
Evann Greene 0.9% 1.6% 2.5% 4.3% 5.2% 7.0% 10.3% 17.2% 51.0%
Cecillia Siegel 4.8% 7.0% 8.6% 10.2% 14.2% 16.4% 16.6% 14.6% 7.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.