← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
David Manley 46.4% 29.1% 15.8% 5.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Etienne Black 4.6% 6.4% 9.6% 13.3% 14.6% 14.7% 17.0% 13.4% 6.5%
Anna Kovacs 10.9% 13.3% 16.8% 17.2% 15.6% 12.7% 7.5% 4.7% 1.4%
Kate Hennig 19.8% 24.9% 22.3% 16.0% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Cecillia Siegel 4.3% 8.0% 8.9% 12.3% 15.3% 16.8% 15.7% 11.4% 7.3%
Jason Elliott 5.7% 6.3% 9.3% 13.6% 15.7% 15.4% 15.5% 12.8% 5.8%
Timothy Verriere 4.0% 5.2% 7.6% 11.1% 11.7% 14.4% 16.9% 17.6% 11.4%
Ana Savva Garcia 2.6% 4.9% 6.8% 7.0% 10.8% 13.7% 16.0% 22.0% 16.3%
Evann Greene 1.7% 1.9% 3.0% 3.9% 5.0% 6.5% 9.3% 17.4% 51.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.