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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+1.65vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.21+5.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.81+6.21vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.32+10.83vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.71+4.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.80+3.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.04-3.26vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-1.60vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.08+5.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.71-1.47vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.84+1.10vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon0.76+0.51vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-4.94vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.34-0.34vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.77-2.84vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.44-2.76vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.06-1.91vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California2.47-12.48vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.32-5.17vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis0.83-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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7.51Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.21University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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14.83California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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9.32Stanford University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Berkeley1.800.0%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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7.4California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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15.61California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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13.1Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
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13.51University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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9.06Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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14.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.340.0%1st Place
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13.16Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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14.24University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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16.09Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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14.83California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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13.07University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 33.9% | 25.2% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Noelle Herring | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Georgie Ryan | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Petersen | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.