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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+6.46vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.32+12.84vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05-0.36vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.80+5.10vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.21+2.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.81+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04-1.97vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81+0.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.63vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.77+3.16vs Predicted
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11Stanford University1.71-1.46vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.84+1.10vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.47-6.11vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine1.71-4.58vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.44-0.68vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-0.060.00vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.34-2.37vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon0.76-4.61vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands0.08-3.41vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.32-5.16vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis0.83-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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14.84California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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2.64Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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9.1University of California at Berkeley1.800.0%1st Place
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7.48Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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9.09University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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5.03University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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8.85Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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13.16Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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9.54Stanford University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.1Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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14.32University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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16.0Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.340.0%1st Place
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13.39University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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15.59California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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14.84California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Doyle | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 34.8% | 22.4% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Georgie Ryan | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 10.5% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Noelle Herring | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Grant Petersen | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.