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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington3.09+2.41vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.99+4.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.72+3.82vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.05+1.99vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University2.02-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.87-0.61vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University0.76+0.10vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.49-3.70vs Predicted
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12University of Washington2.81-8.21vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon1.84-6.59vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria1.08-5.39vs Predicted
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16University of Puget Sound1.26-7.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41University of Washington3.090.2%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Santa Barbara1.990.1%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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5.99Western Washington University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.99Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.1%1st Place
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9.1Oregon State University0.760.0%1st Place
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7.3Northwestern University1.490.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Washington2.810.2%1st Place
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6.41University of Oregon1.840.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Victoria1.080.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Lopez | 23.0% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Logan Swartz | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 5.3% |
| Katherine Stephens | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Bryan Rust | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Mickail Murawski | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Aike Burger | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 31.1% |
| Andrew Wien | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% |
| Hannah Darrin | 19.4% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Craig Emmes | 7.8% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 21.5% |
| Mike Knape | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.