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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay1.63+11.35vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+8.17vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.64+5.22vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego2.19+5.98vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.48vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.68-1.52vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.72-2.56vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.20+1.77vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon2.51-0.51vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.28+3.88vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley2.12-0.67vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.06-5.43vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07+1.90vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-4.44vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University1.51-2.18vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.83-4.60vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis0.42-0.36vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine2.17-7.93vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay1.63-6.65vs Predicted
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20Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-4.86vs Predicted
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21Santa Clara University1.42-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.35California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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9.98University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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7.48California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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4.44Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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9.77Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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13.88Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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6.57Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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14.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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9.56California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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12.82Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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16.64University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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12.35California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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15.14Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
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13.29Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Hurdle | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 17.6% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 16.7% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chong | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.