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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+7.05vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+5.51vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.68+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon2.51+4.56vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.72-0.76vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay1.63+6.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.17+3.32vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+1.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego2.19+0.83vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+0.18vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.28+2.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley2.12-1.52vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University2.20-2.81vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.06-7.64vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University1.51-2.18vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.42+0.63vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-1.86vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University1.42-4.72vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-4.47vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay1.63-7.49vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles1.83-9.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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7.51California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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8.56University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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4.24Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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12.51California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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10.32University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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9.45California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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9.83University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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13.83Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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10.19Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.36Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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12.82Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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16.63University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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15.14Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
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13.28Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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14.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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12.51California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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11.57University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 17.4% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 17.2% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 37.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chong | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.