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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay1.63+11.35vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.64+6.02vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.20+7.08vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.68+0.49vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.72-0.79vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.28+7.84vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.78vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+1.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine2.17+0.93vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.06-3.65vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego2.19-0.99vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon2.51-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley2.12-2.39vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-3.90vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.42+1.58vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University1.51-3.16vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-1.87vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University1.42-4.72vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-4.43vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay1.63-7.65vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles1.83-9.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.35California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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10.08Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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4.49University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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4.21Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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13.84Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.78California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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9.47California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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9.93University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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6.35Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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10.01University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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10.61University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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16.58University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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12.84Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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15.13Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
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13.28Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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14.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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12.35California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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11.61University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Hurdle | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 17.5% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 19.1% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 16.2% | 37.2% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chong | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.