Race 5B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sara Morgan Watters 25.2% 20.3% 17.9% 13.9% 9.0% 7.9% 3.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Kathryn Metscher 7.3% 7.1% 8.5% 8.7% 9.5% 10.7% 11.1% 13.6% 11.8% 9.3% 2.4%
Corey Hall 9.9% 9.6% 11.1% 9.7% 11.7% 9.8% 12.6% 10.1% 9.0% 5.9% 0.6%
Abby Featherstone 9.8% 10.4% 9.3% 11.8% 12.5% 12.0% 11.5% 9.6% 7.3% 5.0% 0.8%
Lauren Burke 7.3% 8.2% 7.4% 8.7% 9.1% 10.3% 9.8% 10.7% 13.6% 12.5% 2.4%
Sara Burke 6.1% 6.6% 6.4% 7.2% 9.7% 8.5% 11.7% 13.1% 13.3% 13.2% 4.2%
Emilie Mademann 8.4% 8.4% 10.0% 7.9% 10.2% 12.2% 11.7% 11.0% 10.1% 7.9% 2.2%
Emily Billing 11.8% 12.1% 12.5% 14.2% 10.5% 9.1% 8.9% 8.7% 8.4% 3.3% 0.5%
Morgan Wilson 10.6% 13.3% 12.1% 12.7% 11.6% 10.5% 9.9% 8.2% 6.4% 3.5% 1.2%
Mary Cummins 3.0% 3.4% 4.3% 3.9% 5.2% 6.3% 7.1% 10.5% 13.8% 29.3% 13.2%
Francesca Ferrero 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 1.0% 2.7% 2.3% 2.7% 6.0% 9.9% 72.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.