← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.81+3.00vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.99+4.01vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington3.09+0.30vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.72+2.82vs Predicted
-
5Oregon State University0.76+4.21vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University2.02-0.02vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University2.05-1.22vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon1.84-1.61vs Predicted
-
10University of Puget Sound1.26-2.02vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz1.87-4.70vs Predicted
-
13Northwestern University1.49-5.37vs Predicted
-
15University of Victoria1.08-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0University of Washington2.810.2%1st Place
-
6.01University of California at Santa Barbara1.990.1%1st Place
-
3.3University of Washington3.090.2%1st Place
-
6.82University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
-
9.21Oregon State University0.760.0%1st Place
-
5.98Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
-
5.78Western Washington University2.050.1%1st Place
-
6.39University of Oregon1.840.1%1st Place
-
7.98University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
-
6.3University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.1%1st Place
-
7.63Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
-
8.59University of Victoria1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Darrin | 17.2% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Logan Swartz | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Felipe Lopez | 24.9% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Aike Burger | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 32.3% |
| Bryan Rust | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Katherine Stephens | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Craig Emmes | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Mike Knape | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 13.7% |
| Mickail Murawski | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Wien | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 11.2% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.