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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.99+0.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.42+1.35vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.19-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30-3.43vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of Hawaii1.0924.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Rhode Island0.8816.8%1st Place
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3.09University of Hawaii0.9919.8%1st Place
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5.35University of California at San Diego-0.423.4%1st Place
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4.7San Diego State University-0.196.5%1st Place
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2.57University of California at Los Angeles1.3027.8%1st Place
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6.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Carew | 24.1% | 21.0% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 16.8% | 18.4% | 19.9% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 19.8% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 20.3% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 17.2% | 33.6% | 25.8% |
| Morgan Burton | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 24.6% | 25.1% | 12.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 27.8% | 25.4% | 22.2% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 21.6% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.