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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+6.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+7.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.83+8.34vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.63+8.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley2.12+5.02vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72-1.72vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon2.51+1.71vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University1.42+4.81vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego2.19+0.72vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University2.20-0.28vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.68-6.55vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.28+1.73vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.06-6.43vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07+0.28vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-5.49vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California2.64-8.09vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine2.17-7.30vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-2.98vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University0.44-2.67vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay1.63-7.86vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis0.42-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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9.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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11.34University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
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12.14California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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4.28Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.71University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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12.81Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.72University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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9.72Western Washington University2.200.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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13.73Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.57Stanford University3.060.1%1st Place
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14.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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9.51California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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15.02Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
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16.33Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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12.14California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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16.54University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 18.1% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 17.5% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chong | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 1.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 28.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.