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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University0.53+10.65vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+3.09vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.98+6.16vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90+5.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.76vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.43+4.98vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+1.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.68+1.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.08-2.80vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.33+3.76vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.39+4.50vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-4.02vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.66-3.86vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.51+1.38vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+3.39vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.62-0.22vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.41-2.69vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-1.25+0.72vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+1.67vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.74vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-8.47vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-4.82vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley-0.75-6.65vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-3.22vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego0.41-14.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.65San Diego State University0.533.5%1st Place
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5.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.4415.7%1st Place
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9.16University of California at Berkeley0.985.8%1st Place
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9.04University of Southern California0.906.3%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Los Angeles1.486.8%1st Place
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7.51California Poly Maritime Academy1.208.3%1st Place
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11.98University of California at Los Angeles0.433.2%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.5%1st Place
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10.22University of California at San Diego0.685.2%1st Place
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7.2University of California at San Diego-0.088.6%1st Place
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14.76University of California at San Diego-0.332.8%1st Place
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16.5Arizona State University-0.391.4%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.916.0%1st Place
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10.14Arizona State University0.664.7%1st Place
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16.38University of California at San Diego-0.511.8%1st Place
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19.39University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.5%1st Place
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16.78Arizona State University-0.621.1%1st Place
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15.31Arizona State University-0.411.7%1st Place
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19.72San Diego State University-1.251.1%1st Place
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21.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.6%1st Place
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19.26University of California at San Diego-1.130.8%1st Place
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13.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.5%1st Place
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18.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.940.7%1st Place
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17.35University of California at Berkeley-0.751.0%1st Place
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21.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.3%1st Place
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11.14University of California at San Diego0.414.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 15.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Colin Olson | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 8.8% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Cody Van Ness | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 28.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 7.8% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Briar | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Connor Fagan | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 26.4% |
| Vivin Vinil | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.