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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.42+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.99-1.96vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.19-1.28vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Rhode Island0.8816.4%1st Place
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2.91University of Hawaii1.0921.9%1st Place
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2.55University of California at Los Angeles1.3029.4%1st Place
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5.32University of California at San Diego-0.423.7%1st Place
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3.04University of Hawaii0.9920.9%1st Place
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4.72San Diego State University-0.196.4%1st Place
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6.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 16.4% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 8.0% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Carew | 21.9% | 22.1% | 22.0% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 29.4% | 25.4% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 17.9% | 33.0% | 25.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 20.9% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Burton | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 24.9% | 26.2% | 12.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 19.8% | 59.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.