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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.54vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+1.07vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09-0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.88-0.72vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.19-0.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.42-0.63vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of California at Los Angeles1.3029.1%1st Place
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3.07University of Hawaii0.9920.0%1st Place
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2.91University of Hawaii1.0921.5%1st Place
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3.28University of Rhode Island0.8817.2%1st Place
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4.71San Diego State University-0.196.4%1st Place
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5.37University of California at San Diego-0.423.9%1st Place
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6.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 29.1% | 24.6% | 22.1% | 14.7% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 20.0% | 19.9% | 20.8% | 19.6% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Carew | 21.5% | 23.3% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 17.2% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 20.5% | 17.6% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Burton | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 25.3% | 25.7% | 12.5% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 16.8% | 33.4% | 26.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 21.4% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.