← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Arizona State University0.66+9.14vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego0.68+8.47vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+5.51vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+3.54vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+0.16vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-0.08+1.30vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.43+4.80vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California0.90+0.72vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.41+2.04vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-0.33+5.02vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University-0.62+6.03vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.96vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-3.75vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+7.70vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University-0.39+1.43vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-2.43vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-1.13+2.14vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-0.41-2.73vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-9.88vs Predicted
-
20San Diego State University-1.25+0.10vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-0.51-4.55vs Predicted
-
22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-3.87vs Predicted
-
23San Diego State University0.53-11.34vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-4.57vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Berkeley-0.75-7.51vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.14Arizona State University0.664.8%1st Place
-
10.47University of California at San Diego0.684.5%1st Place
-
8.51University of California at Los Angeles1.486.8%1st Place
-
7.54California Poly Maritime Academy1.208.4%1st Place
-
5.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.4415.4%1st Place
-
7.3University of California at San Diego-0.088.2%1st Place
-
11.8University of California at Los Angeles0.433.5%1st Place
-
8.72University of Southern California0.906.8%1st Place
-
11.04University of California at San Diego0.414.0%1st Place
-
15.02University of California at San Diego-0.331.7%1st Place
-
17.03Arizona State University-0.621.4%1st Place
-
9.04University of California at Berkeley0.986.0%1st Place
-
9.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.826.6%1st Place
-
21.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.3%1st Place
-
16.43Arizona State University-0.391.7%1st Place
-
13.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.5%1st Place
-
19.14University of California at San Diego-1.130.8%1st Place
-
15.27Arizona State University-0.411.9%1st Place
-
9.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.915.5%1st Place
-
20.1San Diego State University-1.250.8%1st Place
-
16.45University of California at San Diego-0.511.3%1st Place
-
18.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.3%1st Place
-
11.66San Diego State University0.533.6%1st Place
-
19.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.9%1st Place
-
17.49University of California at Berkeley-0.751.1%1st Place
-
21.5University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Grimsley | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 15.4% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 25.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Colin Olson | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Van Ness | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% |
| Connor Fagan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.