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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.99-0.97vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+1.08vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.19-1.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.42-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Hawaii1.0921.5%1st Place
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3.25University of Rhode Island0.8817.2%1st Place
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2.55University of California at Los Angeles1.3030.6%1st Place
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3.03University of Hawaii0.9920.1%1st Place
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6.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.1%1st Place
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4.82San Diego State University-0.195.0%1st Place
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5.28University of California at San Diego-0.423.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morgan Carew | 21.5% | 21.1% | 19.9% | 19.4% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
Molly Coghlin | 17.2% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
Marianna Shand | 30.6% | 23.4% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
Mercy Tangredi | 20.1% | 20.6% | 21.2% | 19.0% | 13.5% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
Macy Rowe | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 10.0% | 19.4% | 58.4% |
Morgan Burton | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 24.9% | 27.8% | 13.3% |
Amanda Brooks | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 18.4% | 32.6% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.