← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii3.04+3.69vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University4.05+0.53vs Predicted
-
3California State University Monterey Bay0.36+11.55vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego1.60+5.72vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University0.77+7.89vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University2.21+1.41vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+0.54vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.78vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University1.71+0.04vs Predicted
-
10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-1.16vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University0.84+1.77vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine0.93+0.55vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon0.76+0.35vs Predicted
-
14Santa Clara University-0.06+1.85vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.34-0.51vs Predicted
-
16University of Southern California2.47-9.61vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles0.44-2.91vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis0.83-5.21vs Predicted
-
19California State University Monterey Bay0.36-4.45vs Predicted
-
20California State University Channel Islands0.08-4.61vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Berkeley1.80-12.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.69University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
2.53Stanford University4.050.4%1st Place
-
14.55California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
-
9.72University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
-
12.89Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
-
7.41Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
-
7.54California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
-
6.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.04Stanford University1.710.0%1st Place
-
8.84Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
-
12.77Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
-
12.55University of California at Irvine0.930.0%1st Place
-
13.35University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
-
15.85Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
14.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.340.0%1st Place
-
6.39University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
-
14.09University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
-
12.79University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
-
14.55California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
-
15.39California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
-
8.92University of California at Berkeley1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 13.8% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 35.7% | 23.9% | 17.1% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noelle Herring | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| William Larsen | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Petersen | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Georgie Ryan | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.