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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.81+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.72+4.59vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon1.84+3.28vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.05+1.75vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.49+1.17vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.87-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of Washington3.09-4.72vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.99-3.27vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University2.02-4.40vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University0.76-3.15vs Predicted
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13University of Puget Sound1.26-5.12vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-0.29-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89University of Washington2.810.2%1st Place
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6.59University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Oregon1.840.1%1st Place
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5.75Western Washington University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.17Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.1%1st Place
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3.28University of Washington3.090.3%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Santa Barbara1.990.1%1st Place
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5.6Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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8.85Oregon State University0.760.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Victoria-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Darrin | 17.8% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 1.9% |
| Craig Emmes | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Stephens | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Wien | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 5.6% |
| Mickail Murawski | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Felipe Lopez | 25.4% | 21.2% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Logan Swartz | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Bryan Rust | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Aike Burger | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 24.4% | 16.8% |
| Mike Knape | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 7.1% |
| Robert Sarkissian | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.8% | 16.2% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.