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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+7.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.68+8.57vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.43+8.80vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.53+7.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.90+2.93vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.08+0.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.06vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.66+1.30vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.41+1.63vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-2.27vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-4.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-3.97vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.62+2.68vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.39+1.54vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.04vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.41-1.65vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-4.36vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.75-1.89vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.51-3.52vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.25-1.23vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.78vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-1.36vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-4.58vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-6.49vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59University of California at Los Angeles1.487.1%1st Place
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10.57University of California at San Diego0.684.0%1st Place
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11.8University of California at Los Angeles0.433.6%1st Place
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11.43San Diego State University0.533.3%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.4414.2%1st Place
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8.93University of Southern California0.905.9%1st Place
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7.39University of California at San Diego-0.089.8%1st Place
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9.06University of California at Berkeley0.986.2%1st Place
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10.3Arizona State University0.665.0%1st Place
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11.63University of California at San Diego0.413.5%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.915.9%1st Place
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7.45California Poly Maritime Academy1.208.1%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.826.8%1st Place
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16.68Arizona State University-0.621.4%1st Place
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16.54Arizona State University-0.391.6%1st Place
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14.96University of California at San Diego-0.331.8%1st Place
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15.35Arizona State University-0.411.7%1st Place
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13.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.273.0%1st Place
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17.11University of California at Berkeley-0.751.2%1st Place
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16.48University of California at San Diego-0.511.9%1st Place
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19.77San Diego State University-1.250.6%1st Place
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19.22University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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21.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.4%1st Place
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19.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.6%1st Place
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18.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.0%1st Place
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21.61University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 14.2% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Fagan | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Cody Van Ness | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.7% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 27.4% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.