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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.71+8.32vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+0.58vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.36+11.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.80+5.04vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04-0.29vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.84+6.97vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81+2.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.60+1.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71+0.33vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.77+3.18vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.47-4.30vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon0.76+1.38vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.36+1.67vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-7.30vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.83-2.15vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University2.21-8.54vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.08-1.49vs Predicted
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18California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-10.67vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-0.06-2.95vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.34-5.26vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.44-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.32Stanford University1.710.0%1st Place
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2.58Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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14.67California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Berkeley1.800.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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12.97Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
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9.32Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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9.65University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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13.18Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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13.38University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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14.67California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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12.85University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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7.46Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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15.51California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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7.33California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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16.05Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.340.0%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noelle Herring | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 33.8% | 25.8% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Georgie Ryan | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 13.0% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Petersen | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.