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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.88+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+0.84vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.99+0.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.48vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.19-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.42-0.65vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Rhode Island0.8816.1%1st Place
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2.84University of Hawaii1.0923.0%1st Place
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3.14University of Hawaii0.9919.2%1st Place
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2.52University of California at Los Angeles1.3029.2%1st Place
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4.7San Diego State University-0.197.0%1st Place
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5.35University of California at San Diego-0.424.0%1st Place
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6.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 16.1% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Carew | 23.0% | 22.6% | 21.3% | 19.1% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 19.2% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 29.2% | 25.8% | 20.6% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Burton | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 24.0% | 26.2% | 13.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 18.2% | 33.1% | 25.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 19.8% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.