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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University0.53+10.63vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.33+11.71vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+3.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.41+6.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.43+5.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.08+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+1.37vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.48-0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.90-0.96vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-2.97vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.68-2.50vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.66-3.86vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.39+1.48vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-2.31vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.62+0.10vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.75-0.58vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+0.49vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+1.72vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.25-1.21vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-0.41-6.60vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-4.93vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-0.51-7.78vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-3.57vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.13-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.63San Diego State University0.534.2%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.4415.6%1st Place
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14.71University of California at San Diego-0.331.8%1st Place
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7.45California Poly Maritime Academy1.209.5%1st Place
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11.37University of California at San Diego0.413.5%1st Place
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11.78University of California at Los Angeles0.433.4%1st Place
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7.59University of California at San Diego-0.088.5%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.8%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Los Angeles1.486.8%1st Place
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9.04University of Southern California0.905.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Berkeley0.987.1%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.916.0%1st Place
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10.5University of California at San Diego0.684.3%1st Place
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10.14Arizona State University0.665.2%1st Place
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16.48Arizona State University-0.391.7%1st Place
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13.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.4%1st Place
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17.1Arizona State University-0.620.9%1st Place
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17.42University of California at Berkeley-0.751.2%1st Place
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19.49University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.7%1st Place
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21.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.4%1st Place
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19.79San Diego State University-1.250.4%1st Place
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15.4Arizona State University-0.411.8%1st Place
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18.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.1%1st Place
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16.22University of California at San Diego-0.511.5%1st Place
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21.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.6%1st Place
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19.09University of California at San Diego-1.130.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Downey | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Hirz | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Connor Fagan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 27.9% |
| Cody Van Ness | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 24.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.