← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island0.88+2.42vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.09+1.15vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.36vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+2.84vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii0.99-1.79vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-0.42-0.11vs Predicted
-
7San Diego State University-0.19-1.86vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine-0.48-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.42University of Rhode Island0.8817.1%1st Place
-
3.15University of Hawaii1.0919.7%1st Place
-
2.64University of California at Los Angeles1.3028.8%1st Place
-
6.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.951.5%1st Place
-
3.21University of Hawaii0.9919.3%1st Place
-
5.89University of California at San Diego-0.424.1%1st Place
-
5.14San Diego State University-0.195.5%1st Place
-
5.7University of California at Irvine-0.484.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Coghlin | 17.1% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Carew | 19.7% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 28.8% | 24.8% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 52.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 19.3% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Brooks | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 27.0% | 20.3% |
| Morgan Burton | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 18.6% | 9.2% |
| LeeAnn Burrows | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 25.1% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.