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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+6.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+2.94vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.66+7.23vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.53+7.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.68+5.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+2.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.08+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.62vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.90+0.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.43+1.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.41+0.25vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.90vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.41+2.35vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.51+2.12vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.24vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-6.84vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.39-0.21vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-4.67vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+0.57vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-0.62-3.15vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley-0.75-3.21vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-0.25vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-1.38vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University-1.25-4.34vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-6.70vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.13-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68California Poly Maritime Academy1.207.4%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.4417.1%1st Place
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10.23Arizona State University0.664.6%1st Place
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11.33San Diego State University0.533.8%1st Place
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10.53University of California at San Diego0.684.4%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.915.8%1st Place
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7.32University of California at San Diego-0.088.6%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Los Angeles1.486.5%1st Place
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9.19University of Southern California0.905.9%1st Place
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11.79University of California at Los Angeles0.434.7%1st Place
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11.25University of California at San Diego0.413.7%1st Place
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9.1University of California at Berkeley0.985.1%1st Place
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15.35Arizona State University-0.412.5%1st Place
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16.12University of California at San Diego-0.511.7%1st Place
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14.76University of California at San Diego-0.331.7%1st Place
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9.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.9%1st Place
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16.79Arizona State University-0.391.4%1st Place
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13.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.1%1st Place
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19.57University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.0%1st Place
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16.85Arizona State University-0.621.5%1st Place
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17.79University of California at Berkeley-0.751.5%1st Place
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21.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.5%1st Place
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21.62University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.3%1st Place
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19.66San Diego State University-1.250.6%1st Place
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18.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.2%1st Place
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19.17University of California at San Diego-1.130.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 17.1% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Vivin Vinil | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| George Soliman | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 9.7% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Connor Fagan | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 28.3% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 25.9% |
| Cody Van Ness | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.