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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+6.44vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+7.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.41+7.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.08+2.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+12.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+1.47vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+4.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-0.86vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.41+3.92vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.39+4.82vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+8.79vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.77vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.43-3.32vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.66-5.82vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.51-0.58vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+0.19vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.73+2.72vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.25-0.49vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley-0.75-3.53vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.85vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-0.62-6.28vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University0.53-12.69vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-16.03vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego0.68-15.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44California Poly Maritime Academy1.208.5%1st Place
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9.12University of Southern California0.905.8%1st Place
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5.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.4414.5%1st Place
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11.36University of California at San Diego0.413.5%1st Place
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7.43University of California at San Diego-0.089.0%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Los Angeles1.486.5%1st Place
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19.44University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.8%1st Place
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9.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.7%1st Place
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13.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.9%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Berkeley0.986.6%1st Place
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14.92Arizona State University-0.412.0%1st Place
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16.82Arizona State University-0.391.6%1st Place
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21.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.4%1st Place
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14.77University of California at San Diego-0.331.9%1st Place
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11.68University of California at Los Angeles0.433.3%1st Place
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10.18Arizona State University0.665.0%1st Place
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16.42University of California at San Diego-0.511.4%1st Place
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18.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.1%1st Place
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21.72University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.5%1st Place
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19.51San Diego State University-1.250.8%1st Place
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17.47University of California at Berkeley-0.750.9%1st Place
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19.15University of California at San Diego-1.130.8%1st Place
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16.72Arizona State University-0.621.5%1st Place
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11.31San Diego State University0.533.8%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Santa Cruz0.917.2%1st Place
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10.56University of California at San Diego0.684.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% |
| George Soliman | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 27.6% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 25.8% |
| Cody Van Ness | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| Connor Fagan | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.