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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.80+7.04vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.21+4.63vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+3.49vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04-0.20vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.71+3.47vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.35vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.32+6.66vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University-0.06+7.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.81-0.95vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.84+1.96vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-2.82vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.71-3.27vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California2.47-7.43vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.32-0.34vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.34-1.34vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon0.76-3.77vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.44-3.72vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands0.08-3.25vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis0.83-7.18vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University0.77-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Stanford University4.050.4%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Berkeley1.800.0%1st Place
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7.63Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.49California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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9.47Stanford University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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14.66California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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16.08Santa Clara University-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.05University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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12.96Northwestern University0.840.0%1st Place
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9.18Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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9.73University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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14.66California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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14.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.340.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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14.28University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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15.75California State University Channel Islands0.080.0%1st Place
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12.82University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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13.35Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 35.3% | 25.0% | 15.6% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Georgie Ryan | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noelle Herring | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Marks | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lubben | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Petersen | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Sierra Marangola | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.