← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+7.11vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles0.43+9.07vs Predicted
-
3Arizona State University-0.41+11.64vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego0.68+6.10vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+0.05vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+3.08vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.55vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California0.90+0.53vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+9.96vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-0.08-3.05vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University-0.62+5.40vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University0.53-0.95vs Predicted
-
13California Poly Maritime Academy1.20-5.77vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.30vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-6.39vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Berkeley-0.75+0.99vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+4.50vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-4.90vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-0.33-4.67vs Predicted
-
20San Diego State University-1.25-0.91vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-1.73+0.05vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-1.72-0.69vs Predicted
-
23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-5.37vs Predicted
-
24Arizona State University0.66-14.26vs Predicted
-
25Arizona State University-0.39-9.31vs Predicted
-
26University of California at San Diego-1.68-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.11University of California at Los Angeles1.487.1%1st Place
-
11.07University of California at Los Angeles0.433.2%1st Place
-
14.64Arizona State University-0.412.4%1st Place
-
10.1University of California at San Diego0.684.7%1st Place
-
5.05University of California at Santa Barbara1.4415.8%1st Place
-
9.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.3%1st Place
-
8.55University of California at Berkeley0.987.0%1st Place
-
8.53University of Southern California0.906.2%1st Place
-
18.96University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.8%1st Place
-
6.95University of California at San Diego-0.089.6%1st Place
-
16.4Arizona State University-0.620.9%1st Place
-
11.05San Diego State University0.533.8%1st Place
-
7.23California Poly Maritime Academy1.209.0%1st Place
-
15.3University of California at San Diego-0.581.5%1st Place
-
8.61University of California at Santa Cruz0.916.9%1st Place
-
16.99University of California at Berkeley-0.751.2%1st Place
-
21.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.2%1st Place
-
13.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.4%1st Place
-
14.33University of California at San Diego-0.332.5%1st Place
-
19.09San Diego State University-1.250.6%1st Place
-
21.05University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.4%1st Place
-
21.31University of California at San Diego-1.720.7%1st Place
-
17.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.940.9%1st Place
-
9.74Arizona State University0.664.8%1st Place
-
15.69Arizona State University-0.391.6%1st Place
-
20.95University of California at San Diego-1.680.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Noah Barton | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 15.8% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Colin Olson | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 21.2% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Cody Van Ness | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 18.6% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 20.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Grace Richie | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.