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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+7.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+3.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.98+5.46vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.53+7.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.08+2.10vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.90+1.43vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.68+1.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.58+6.63vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+3.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.19vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.62+4.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-3.81vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.07vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.66-5.32vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.75+0.79vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-8.61vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+3.04vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-0.41-4.21vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.73+1.10vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-3.17vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-3.09vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-0.39-6.93vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University-1.25-4.67vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.72-3.71vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.68-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24University of California at Los Angeles1.487.0%1st Place
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5.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.4414.2%1st Place
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8.46University of California at Berkeley0.987.4%1st Place
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11.14San Diego State University0.533.9%1st Place
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7.1University of California at San Diego-0.087.8%1st Place
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7.11California Poly Maritime Academy1.209.7%1st Place
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8.43University of Southern California0.906.1%1st Place
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9.85University of California at San Diego0.685.5%1st Place
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15.63University of California at San Diego-0.581.5%1st Place
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13.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.6%1st Place
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11.19University of California at Los Angeles0.434.0%1st Place
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16.29Arizona State University-0.621.4%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.7%1st Place
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13.93University of California at San Diego-0.332.9%1st Place
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9.68Arizona State University0.665.4%1st Place
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16.79University of California at Berkeley-0.751.2%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.916.2%1st Place
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21.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.5%1st Place
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14.79Arizona State University-0.411.9%1st Place
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21.1University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.5%1st Place
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17.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.1%1st Place
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18.91University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.9%1st Place
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16.07Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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19.33San Diego State University-1.250.8%1st Place
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21.29University of California at San Diego-1.720.5%1st Place
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21.07University of California at San Diego-1.680.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 14.2% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| George Soliman | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Colin Olson | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 18.6% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.9% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Cody Van Ness | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 20.9% |
| Grace Richie | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.