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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii-0.63+0.90vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-1.27+1.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.89vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-1.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Hawaii1.0541.8%1st Place
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2.87University of Hawaii0.1221.8%1st Place
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3.9University of Hawaii-0.6311.4%1st Place
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5.0San Diego State University-1.275.2%1st Place
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4.11University of California at San Diego-0.709.6%1st Place
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4.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.006.5%1st Place
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5.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.823.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 41.8% | 30.8% | 15.8% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 21.8% | 25.2% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| katherine shofran | 11.4% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 13.7% | 6.8% |
| Tegan Smith | 5.2% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 23.7% | 24.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 9.6% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 9.4% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 21.8% | 15.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.