← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.70+0.67vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California0.12+5.31vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.79+3.05vs Predicted
-
4California State University Monterey Bay0.32+3.06vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy1.85-1.07vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.18-0.77vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.02+0.32vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.65vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon-1.13+0.50vs Predicted
-
10California State University Monterey Bay0.32-2.94vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-0.78-2.14vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University2.65-9.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.67Stanford University3.700.5%1st Place
-
7.31University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
-
6.05University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
-
7.06California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
-
3.93California Poly Maritime Academy1.850.1%1st Place
-
5.23University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
-
7.32University of California at Berkeley0.020.0%1st Place
-
6.35University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
9.5University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
-
7.06California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
-
8.86University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
-
2.73Stanford University2.650.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 54.5% | 29.4% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Lynch | 9.2% | 15.3% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.2% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Frank Ma | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Pilegard | 2.7% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Arek Chucovich | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 20.4% | 47.1% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 24.0% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
| John Ortel | 20.8% | 30.5% | 23.6% | 14.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.