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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.70+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.12-0.16vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+0.56vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.27-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii-0.63-2.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Hawaii1.0542.1%1st Place
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4.11University of California at San Diego-0.7010.0%1st Place
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2.84University of Hawaii0.1222.2%1st Place
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4.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.007.0%1st Place
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4.94San Diego State University-1.275.1%1st Place
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3.87University of Hawaii-0.6310.3%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Los Angeles-1.823.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 42.1% | 29.9% | 16.8% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 14.8% | 9.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 22.2% | 24.6% | 23.0% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 20.8% | 15.2% |
| Tegan Smith | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 26.7% | 21.8% |
| katherine shofran | 10.3% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 6.0% |
| Katherine Smith | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.