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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+0.65vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.65+0.75vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.32+4.01vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.12+3.47vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.85-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.18-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.79-1.20vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.02-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.13+0.51vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.32-2.99vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.52-4.60vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.78-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Stanford University3.700.6%1st Place
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2.75Stanford University2.650.2%1st Place
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7.01California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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3.95California Poly Maritime Academy1.850.1%1st Place
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5.19University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Berkeley0.020.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.01California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 55.9% | 28.8% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ortel | 19.6% | 29.6% | 24.8% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Lynch | 9.1% | 14.7% | 20.9% | 20.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Frank Ma | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Arek Chucovich | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 19.8% | 47.8% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Pilegard | 2.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 23.7% | 28.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.