← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley1.18+3.50vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.85+1.67vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.79+2.14vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.70-2.47vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.02+1.17vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California0.12+0.13vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-1.13+0.88vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis-0.78-0.59vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.65-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.5University of California at Berkeley1.180.1%1st Place
-
3.67California Poly Maritime Academy1.850.1%1st Place
-
5.14University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
-
1.53Stanford University3.700.6%1st Place
-
6.17University of California at Berkeley0.020.0%1st Place
-
6.13University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
-
7.88University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
-
7.41University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
-
2.56Stanford University2.650.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Hayes | 5.5% | 7.9% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Raymond Lynch | 6.8% | 15.0% | 27.9% | 23.3% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Saul Rosen | 2.6% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 20.6% | 21.3% | 15.8% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Antoine Screve | 61.1% | 28.0% | 8.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frank Ma | 1.0% | 2.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 22.3% | 17.9% | 9.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 6.5% |
| Arek Chucovich | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 21.3% | 50.9% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 30.5% | 31.4% |
| John Ortel | 20.6% | 34.9% | 22.5% | 13.7% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.