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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.68vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+6.40vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.38+5.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+6.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.15+5.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-2.92vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+0.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+6.26vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-3.25vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.56+1.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.46+4.86vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.09+1.81vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-1.65+3.26vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.91-1.00vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.00-1.56vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.93+1.60vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-3.61vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.21-3.35vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-6.13vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-4.13vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.11-2.71vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-6.77vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.83-5.63vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-2.11-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68University of California at Los Angeles1.7921.4%1st Place
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8.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.355.9%1st Place
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8.31University of Southern California0.385.5%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.5%1st Place
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11.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.4%1st Place
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11.38University of California at San Diego-0.152.5%1st Place
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4.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.3518.6%1st Place
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8.17Arizona State University0.745.9%1st Place
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15.26University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.2%1st Place
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6.75California Poly Maritime Academy0.868.9%1st Place
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12.72University of California at Berkeley-0.562.0%1st Place
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8.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.304.8%1st Place
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17.86University of California at San Diego-1.460.9%1st Place
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15.81San Diego State University-1.090.9%1st Place
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18.26San Diego State University-1.650.8%1st Place
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15.0Arizona State University-0.911.8%1st Place
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15.44University of California at San Diego-1.000.8%1st Place
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19.6University of California at San Diego-1.930.7%1st Place
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15.39University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.6%1st Place
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16.65Arizona State University-1.211.0%1st Place
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14.87University of California at Santa Cruz-0.981.4%1st Place
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17.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.8%1st Place
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20.29Arizona State University-2.110.7%1st Place
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17.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.431.1%1st Place
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19.37University of California at San Diego-1.830.6%1st Place
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20.47University of California at San Diego-2.110.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 21.4% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 18.6% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Summer Drake | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
| Adeline Spencer | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.6% |
| Liam Williams | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| William Bailly | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Christopher Farago | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 18.8% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Maria Guinness | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% |
| Alexander Warnery | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.