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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.65+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.18+2.84vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70-1.36vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.32+2.38vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.85-1.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.79-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.13+1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.12-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.02-2.12vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.32-3.62vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.78-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Stanford University2.650.2%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Berkeley1.180.1%1st Place
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1.64Stanford University3.700.6%1st Place
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6.38California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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3.65California Poly Maritime Academy1.850.1%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Berkeley0.020.0%1st Place
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6.38California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ortel | 20.8% | 32.4% | 22.9% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 5.7% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 55.4% | 29.4% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Lynch | 10.1% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 21.1% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 3.4% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Arek Chucovich | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 22.7% | 47.0% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Frank Ma | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 23.5% | 32.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.