← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.05+0.96vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-0.70+2.12vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii-0.63+0.97vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii0.12-1.17vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University-1.270.00vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-1.41vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.96University of Hawaii1.0545.8%1st Place
-
4.12University of California at San Diego-0.708.5%1st Place
-
3.97University of Hawaii-0.639.4%1st Place
-
2.83University of Hawaii0.1222.1%1st Place
-
5.0San Diego State University-1.274.0%1st Place
-
4.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.006.8%1st Place
-
5.55University of California at Los Angeles-1.823.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 45.8% | 27.1% | 16.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 8.5% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 9.2% |
| katherine shofran | 9.4% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 22.1% | 24.1% | 22.7% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Tegan Smith | 4.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 23.0% | 24.4% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 22.5% | 14.6% |
| Katherine Smith | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.