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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+0.99vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.70+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii-0.63-0.15vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.36vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.27-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99University of Hawaii1.0544.1%1st Place
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2.87University of Hawaii0.1221.3%1st Place
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4.16University of California at San Diego-0.708.6%1st Place
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3.85University of Hawaii-0.6310.7%1st Place
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4.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.007.0%1st Place
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5.64University of California at Los Angeles-1.823.0%1st Place
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4.94San Diego State University-1.275.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 44.1% | 28.1% | 17.1% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 21.3% | 24.8% | 22.4% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 20.9% | 15.7% | 9.0% |
| katherine shofran | 10.7% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 6.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 21.8% | 15.2% |
| Katherine Smith | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 19.8% | 45.6% |
| Tegan Smith | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 23.1% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.