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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+0.68vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.65+0.77vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.85+1.04vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.32+3.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.18+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.12+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.79-2.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.02-1.46vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.13-0.57vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.32-3.94vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.78-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Stanford University3.700.5%1st Place
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2.77Stanford University2.650.2%1st Place
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4.04California Poly Maritime Academy1.850.1%1st Place
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7.06California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Berkeley1.180.1%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Berkeley0.020.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.06California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 54.4% | 30.0% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ortel | 19.6% | 29.9% | 24.3% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Lynch | 8.9% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 5.1% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Pilegard | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Frank Ma | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Arek Chucovich | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 47.4% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 25.5% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.