← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Monterey Bay0.32+6.03vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.70-0.35vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley1.18+2.25vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.65-1.19vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California0.12+2.27vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy1.85-2.06vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.79-1.24vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.58vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.02-1.46vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-0.78-1.10vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay0.32-3.97vs Predicted
-
12University of Oregon-1.13-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.03California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
-
1.65Stanford University3.700.6%1st Place
-
5.25University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
-
2.81Stanford University2.650.2%1st Place
-
7.27University of Southern California0.120.0%1st Place
-
3.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.850.1%1st Place
-
5.76University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
-
6.42University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
7.54University of California at Berkeley0.020.0%1st Place
-
8.9University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
-
7.03California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
-
9.42University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janet Rumsey | 1.5% | 1.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 55.8% | 29.1% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.6% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Ortel | 17.5% | 30.6% | 24.6% | 15.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alessandro Marazzi Sassoon | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Lynch | 8.9% | 14.9% | 21.6% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Pilegard | 2.7% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Frank Ma | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 24.8% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| Janet Rumsey | 1.5% | 1.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Arek Chucovich | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 19.2% | 45.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.