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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+5.79vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.38+6.36vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+5.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.15+7.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+4.20vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.74+2.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-2.80vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+9.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.56+3.80vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.79-6.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+0.96vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.09+3.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.89vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46+4.05vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+0.44vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-0.75vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.65+1.12vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.93+2.07vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-3.45vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-2.75vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.21-4.63vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-0.91-7.00vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.11-2.62vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-1.00-8.88vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.83-5.92vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-2.11-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79California Poly Maritime Academy0.868.3%1st Place
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8.36University of Southern California0.385.2%1st Place
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8.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.355.5%1st Place
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11.41University of California at San Diego-0.153.2%1st Place
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9.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.304.0%1st Place
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8.14Arizona State University0.746.2%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.3518.4%1st Place
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17.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.2%1st Place
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12.8University of California at Berkeley-0.561.9%1st Place
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3.76University of California at Los Angeles1.7921.8%1st Place
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11.96University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.1%1st Place
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15.48San Diego State University-1.091.3%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.2%1st Place
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18.05University of California at San Diego-1.461.1%1st Place
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15.44University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.2%1st Place
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15.25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.981.8%1st Place
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18.12San Diego State University-1.650.9%1st Place
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20.07University of California at San Diego-1.930.4%1st Place
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15.55University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.3%1st Place
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17.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.9%1st Place
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16.37Arizona State University-1.211.1%1st Place
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15.0Arizona State University-0.911.8%1st Place
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20.38Arizona State University-2.110.7%1st Place
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15.12University of California at San Diego-1.001.4%1st Place
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19.08University of California at San Diego-1.830.7%1st Place
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20.36University of California at San Diego-2.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Summer Drake | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 18.4% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grant Janov | 21.8% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Spencer | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| samson grunwald | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Farago | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 15.0% |
| Liam Williams | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| William Bailly | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 18.6% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Maria Guinness | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% |
| Alexander Warnery | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.