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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.44+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.17+3.05vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.78+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.71-0.10vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.04-2.74vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.62-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.87-1.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.55-0.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.70-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Stanford University3.440.5%1st Place
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5.05University of California at Berkeley1.170.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Oregon0.780.0%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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2.26Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.75California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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5.37University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 45.7% | 31.6% | 15.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Gibson | 2.9% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 19.5% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 2.8% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 13.4% | 3.7% |
| Samuel Heller | 8.2% | 12.7% | 23.4% | 21.5% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Dahl | 31.9% | 33.6% | 19.6% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Antrobus | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 14.0% | 5.4% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 3.1% |
| Estella Wong | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 27.7% | 38.9% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 23.4% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.