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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.70+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii-0.63-0.10vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.32vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.27-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of Hawaii1.0545.0%1st Place
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2.86University of Hawaii0.1221.0%1st Place
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4.11University of California at San Diego-0.708.8%1st Place
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3.9University of Hawaii-0.6310.0%1st Place
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4.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.007.1%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Los Angeles-1.822.6%1st Place
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4.92San Diego State University-1.275.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 45.0% | 28.5% | 15.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 21.0% | 24.1% | 24.1% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 8.6% |
| katherine shofran | 10.0% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 5.7% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 15.2% |
| Katherine Smith | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 20.3% | 46.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 23.8% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.