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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.04+1.28vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44-0.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.17+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.71-0.10vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.62+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.87-0.63vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.78-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.55-0.46vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.70-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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1.94Stanford University3.440.4%1st Place
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4.97University of California at Berkeley1.170.0%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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5.71California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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5.37University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Oregon0.780.0%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 32.5% | 31.0% | 20.7% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 41.4% | 34.7% | 15.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Gibson | 4.7% | 5.7% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Heller | 9.5% | 12.7% | 21.3% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| William Antrobus | 2.6% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 6.7% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.7% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 3.2% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 4.2% |
| Estella Wong | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 29.0% | 38.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 24.0% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.