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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+0.94vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.70+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.12-0.11vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-1.27+0.98vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii-0.63-2.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94University of Hawaii1.0545.1%1st Place
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4.12University of California at San Diego-0.708.9%1st Place
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2.89University of Hawaii0.1220.6%1st Place
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4.98San Diego State University-1.275.2%1st Place
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4.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.006.7%1st Place
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3.95University of Hawaii-0.6310.5%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Los Angeles-1.822.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 45.1% | 29.8% | 15.3% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 8.5% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 20.6% | 24.6% | 23.4% | 16.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Tegan Smith | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 23.2% | 24.7% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 6.7% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 13.2% |
| katherine shofran | 10.5% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 7.2% |
| Katherine Smith | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 19.2% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.